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Global Macro Research: State of the world
June 25, 2025
Markets have started to price in UK policy easing in 2024, but we believe those looking for aggressive cuts may be disappointed.

Global Macro Research: Trade Wars 2025
June 04, 2025
Tariff uncertainty has created considerable market volatility, but impact on growth remains unclear. We take a look at what my lie ahead.
Previous research

Global Macro Research: What a tripolar world means for Europe
June 04, 2025
We ask Gideon Rachman, Chief Foreign Affairs Commentator at the Financial Times to give his thoughts on the global outlook

Global Macro Research: Global trade in chains part 4
May 20, 2025
Deals with the UK and China suggest the US is beginning to de-escalate its trade war – but tariffs are still likely to have a meaningful impact on growth and inflation.

Global trade in chains: part 3 - China vs the US: non-tariff barriers
April 28, 2025
The third in a series of articles sharing our thoughts on the unfolding global trade war.

Global Macro Research: reflections on Europe versus the US
April 17, 2025
Professor Robert J Gordon provides his thoughts on the divergence between US and European growth and challenges the common perception that the US holds a significant advantage over Europe.

Global trade in chains: part 2 - The impact of uncertainty
April 14, 2025
The second in a series of articles sharing our thoughts on the unfolding global trade war.