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Stanza | fragility, resilience and innovation

Read Stanza: we explore market instability, unpack opportunities to innovate in retirement income and offer perspectives on foundational changes reshaping markets such as longevity, tokenisation and AI.
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Assessing European energy dependence

The global economic order is changing. Old assumptions no longer hold, and new risks and opportunities are emerging.
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Opportunities and misperceptions in fixed income

Peter Bentley, Global Head of Fixed Income, discusses current opportunities and misperceptions in fixed income.
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Changing economic orders

Deglobalisation, fiscal dominance and demographic change point to a world of greater volatility, higher inflation risk, and wider cross‑country divergence.
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Global Perspectives

Fixed income

Scraping the barrel: oil products – who runs out of what, and when?

With oil inventories declining rapidly, we investigate where product shortages may start to appear.

19 Jun 2026 5-7 min read

Fixed income

Mastering the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index

Spanning more than 30,000 securities across government bonds, corporate credit and securitised markets, the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index offers a broad snapshot of global fixed income. Its scale and diversity make it the natural benchmark for many investors seeking exposure to global bond markets.

01 Jun 2026 5-7 min read

Fixed income

Instant Insights: Kevin Warsh ushers in new regime at the Fed

All eyes were on Kevin Warsh’s debut press conference as Fed chair, which confirmed a “hawkish tilt” at the central bank.

18 Jun 2026 5-7 min read

Fixed income

The importance of inflation protection

Inflation has fallen from its post-pandemic peaks, but the underlying story may have dramatically changed. In this paper, we argue that disinflation has stalled and that markets may be underestimating a structural shift to a more inflationary world. A combination of policy choices, geopolitical change, demographics and deglobalisation is reshaping the inflation outlook, with important implications for portfolios.

01 Jun 2026 5-7 min read

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Market viewpoints

August 2026

Defence has become one of the clearest structural growth stories in Europe

What began with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is now being reinforced by a broader recognition that national security requires sustained investment. In our view, the UK is well placed to benefit thanks to its deep defence expertise, while Germany’s decision to unlock hundreds of billions in spending marks a historic shift. With low debt levels and room to borrow, we believe Germany can support both its security ambitions and economic growth. In our view, this looks less like a short-term spending cycle and more like a multi-year investment theme.

April LaRusse Head of Investment Specialists
The hidden pension risk in the AI boom

Artificial intelligence is not only transforming the economy, but also increasingly reshaping bond markets as hyperscalers issue debt to fund unprecedented levels of investment. We believe this trend is creating growing concentrations in parts of the corporate bond market, including those that are widely used to construct pension liability discount curves. If this trend persists, and if highly rated hyperscalers were to face widespread downgrades, the impact could extend beyond credit markets and into pension funding metrics. As AI-related issuance continues to grow, pensions may want to take a closer look at how these issuers influence their discount curves and overall funding position.

Justin Demino Head of Solution Design, North America
US exceptionalism is back

The last few months have served as a reminder that monetary policy divergence and relative growth dynamics remain key drivers of currency markets. A hawkish shift from the Federal Reserve, resilient US economic data and the ongoing AI-led US exceptionalism narrative supported broad dollar strength against most major currencies, while higher energy prices and weaker growth expectations weighed on many importing economies. Looking ahead, we continue to favour the US dollar against lower-yielding currencies in the near term, factoring structural concerns around US fiscal policy and policy credibility into our longer-term outlook.

Alex Moloney Head of Macro Discretionary