Global Perspectives

Scraping the barrel:  oil products – who runs out of what, and when? Fixed income

Scraping the barrel: oil products – who runs out of what, and when?

With oil inventories declining rapidly, we investigate where product shortages may start to appear.

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19 Jun 2026 5-7 min read

Market viewpoints

July 2026

  • Riding dollar strength, preparing for reversal

    Currency markets have been particularly dynamic over recent months, with geopolitical volatility driving rapid shifts in sentiment and positioning. We have actively adjusted our US dollar exposure to reflect firmer economic data and a more hawkish Fed, moving from neutral to a long position where relevant and practical to do so. While the US exceptionalism narrative is back in favour and should support the dollar near term, we see this as a late-cycle dynamic. Structural pressures remain, and we expect the trend to reverse later in the year. Identifying that inflection point will be key.

    Francesca Fornasari
    Francesca Fornasari Head of Currency
  • Supply pressure is creating value in the investment grade tech sector

    Strong tech issuance is weighing on spreads, with AA credits now priced similarly to A-rated peers in other sectors. We seek to take advantage of this by moving overweight where practical and relevant to a mandate. With issuance likely to stay elevated, spreads may remain wide, but long maturities now offer what we believe are attractive all-in yields for solid credits, making the opportunity hard to ignore

    Erin Spalsbury
    Erin Spalsbury Head of US Investment Grade Credit
  • Emerging market corporates regain momentum

    The Middle East conflict briefly put the positive story for emerging market corporates on hold. But with a resolution increasingly likely and growth proving more resilient than feared, investors are refocusing on the asset class’s strong fundamentals and compelling value. In a world of tight spreads, emerging market corporates stand out to us as a powerful diversifier, and we’ve been seeking to take advantage of this through the year. We believe high yield offers the clearest opportunity, with attractive spreads relative to equivalent developed market issuers and with negative net issuance leaving investors chasing a shrinking pool of assets.

    Rodica Glavan
    Rodica Glavan Head of EM Corporate Fixed Income

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