Thoughts for 2026
We present our outlook for 2026, covering global fixed income markets, interest rates, inflation and currencies.
Read more
We present our outlook for 2026, covering global fixed income markets, interest rates, inflation and currencies.
Read moreGlobal macro, Economics
We examine the potential economic policy of an incoming Labour government and the challenges that would face whichever party wins.
23 May 2024
Global macro, Geopolitics
At a time of heightened geopolitical risk, the world’s leading superpower will be heading to the polls to choose a new president.
15 May 2024
Global macro, Geopolitics, Economics
An early look at implications of the US Presidential election.
03 May 2024
Global macro, External speakers
Erik Brynjolfsson examines the potential effects that artificial intelligence may produce on economies, living standards and society.
01 May 2024
Global macro, Economics
Global housing markets have held up better than expected through the rate hiking cycle. We think this strength could mean a slower rate cutting cycle than markets expect.
20 March 2024
Global macro, Economics
We continue to have a bearish view for Chinese growth over the medium term relative to current market expectations.
14 February 2024
Global macro, Fixed income
In our view, the level of real interest rates at which central bank policy is neither stimulating or restricting growth has moved upwards.
06 November 2023
Global macro, Fixed income
Central banks have suppressed longer-dated bond yields, according to our analysis, undermining the value of an inverted yield curve as a recession signal.
13 October 2023
Global macro, Geopolitics
Green protectionism is reshaping the global economy and geopolitics.
26 September 2023