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Gilt market risks

Generating returns in an environment of low credit spreads and macro volatility

16 March 2026 Video, Global macro

Robert Gall, Head of Market Strategy

Key takeways

  • We consider how gilt pricing works in practice, focusing on long‑end spreads, funding frictions, and differences across gilts by maturity, coupon and convexity.
  • Considering who owns and buys gilts, tracing shifts in the investor base over time, reveals a significant shift in the market.
  • Changes in market structure and demand feed through into the UK’s issuance strategy and the evolving cost of issuing government debt – with political risk emerging as the most significant domestic factor to consider.
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