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    UK fiscal update

    UK fiscal update

    December 12, 2024

    We review the UK budget and the implications for growth, inflation and the Bank of England.

    Japan: A window for optimism

    Japan: A window for optimism

    November 11, 2024

    A window for optimism has now opened in Japan, and the Bank of Japan has started to tighten policy for the first time since 2007.

    Global Macro Research: US labor market is finely balanced

    Global Macro Research: US labor market is finely balanced

    October 25, 2024

    The US labor market has proved remarkably resilient this cycle, but the demand and supply of labor appears finely balanced and at risk of tipping into recessionary conditions.

    The resurgence of Southern Europe

    The resurgence of Southern Europe

    May 30, 2024

    We believe the economic outperformance of Southern European countries relative to countries such as Germany should continue for some years to come.

    US Election 2024: An early look

    US Election 2024: An early look

    May 03, 2024

    An early look at implications of the US Presidential election.

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      Global macro research: Editorial committee

      Global macro research: Editorial committee

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