Category Global macro

The case for a higher neutral interest rate
6 November 2023
In our view, the level of real interest rates at which central bank policy is neither stimulating or restricting growth has moved upwards.

Yield-curve inversion – an unreliable recession signal?
12 October 2023
Central banks have suppressed longer-dated bond yields, according to our analysis, undermining the value of an inverted yield curve as a recession signal.

The rise of green protectionism
27 September 2023
Green protectionism is reshaping the global economy and geopolitics.

Global macro research: Editorial committee
30 November 2022
The Global Macro Research Editorial Committee reviews research on thematic long-term investment issues from our global investment teams, and commissions research on topics it believes could be impactful to markets.