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    Category Global macro

    The case for a higher neutral interest rate

    The case for a higher neutral interest rate

    6 November 2023

    In our view, the level of real interest rates at which central bank policy is neither stimulating or restricting growth has moved upwards.

    Yield-curve inversion – an unreliable recession signal?

    Yield-curve inversion – an unreliable recession signal?

    12 October 2023

    Central banks have suppressed longer-dated bond yields, according to our analysis, undermining the value of an inverted yield curve as a recession signal.

    The rise of green protectionism

    The rise of green protectionism

    27 September 2023

    Green protectionism is reshaping the global economy and geopolitics.

    Global macro research: Editorial committee

    Global macro research: Editorial committee

    30 November 2022

    The Global Macro Research Editorial Committee reviews research on thematic long-term investment issues from our global investment teams, and commissions research on topics it believes could be impactful to markets.

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